International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.
| ISBN: | 9789400733954 |
| Publication date: | 1st December 2012 |
| Author: | Jakub Bijak |
| Publisher: | Springer an imprint of Springer Netherlands |
| Format: | Paperback |
| Pagination: | 316 pages |
| Series: | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
| Genres: |
Population and demography Migration, immigration and emigration Population and migration geography Probability and statistics |
International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.
Forecasting International Migration in Europe features in the following genres: Population and demography, Migration, immigration and emigration, Population and migration geography, Probability and statistics
Forecasting International Migration in Europe is available in Paperback, Hardback
Forecasting International Migration in Europe was written by Jakub Bijak and published by Springer an imprint of Springer Netherlands
Forecasting International Migration in Europe has 316 pages
Yes it is part of The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis series