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Sovereign Default Risk Valuation

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Sovereign Default Risk Valuation Synopsis

Past cycles of sovereign lending and default in emerging markets suggest that debt crises will recur at some point. In addressing debt crises it has proven helpful to distinguish between situations of illiquidity and insolvency. Solutions range from a voluntary debt swap to a soft or hard restructuring. This book shows why investors should reckon with similar credit events in the future.

Insights gained from recent restructurings inspire the design of a valuation model for sovereign bonds. Using the distinction between hard and soft restructurings, the model draws parallels to the concepts of face value and market value recovery. An extension into credit default swap markets explains why bond and CDS spreads diverge during distress.

This survey of the sovereign bond market provides investors with a useful toolkit for analyzing sovereign bonds and foreseeing trends in the international financial architecture. The result should be a better understanding of debt crises and more deliberate investment decisions.

About This Edition

ISBN: 9783540374480
Publication date:
Author: Jochen R Andritzky
Publisher: Springer an imprint of Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Format: Paperback
Pagination: 251 pages
Series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Genres: Economics
Macroeconomics
Political economy
Finance and the finance industry
Civil service and public sector
Mathematics

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