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Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?

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Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time? Synopsis

Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.

About This Edition

ISBN: 9780833079015
Publication date:
Author: Jennifer Kavanagh
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Format: Paperback
Pagination: 76 pages
Genres: Probability and statistics
Computer science

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